Showing posts with label Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami March 2011. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami March 2011. Show all posts

Friday, March 18, 2011

Preliminary analysis of Japan Earthquake March 2011

Greetings from "Earthquake of the Week" at the Australian National University Research School of Earth Sciences in Canberra. This weekly event is very well attended as the topic is the analysis of the recent Japan Earthquake. I am not a seismologist, but as I understand what I am being told, this earthquake was over a larger distance: 100 km, compared to a more usual 38 km. Essentially these were four large earthquakes in quick succession in the same area. In other respects the earthquake was not unusual for the area.

The Tsunami arrived on shore about 25 minutes after the earthquake. This provided very little time for evacuation. There would be few places to escape from a 15 m wave. Unlike an earthquake, survivors will be scattered around a debris filed away from where they were. Mobile phones are unlikely to be functioning after immersion.

The latest data indicates that there is n way to predict if, when or where very large earthquakes will occur.

The Fukushima nuclear power plant was designed for an 8.2 magnitude earthquake. It survived the much larger earthquake well. Japanese nuclear power plants automatically shut down when an earthquake is detected. The Fukushima reactor had a 3m high wall around it to prevent a tsunami expected from a 8.2 earthquake. However this was over-topped by the much larger wave which damaged the emergency power supply.

The Japan Atomic Industrial Forum has detailed reports on the situation. At present it appears little widespread risk to the public. There is a literature on this field, such as: Analysis of impacts of wind integration in the Tamil Nadu grid Energy Policy, Volume 37, Issue 9, September 2009, Pages 3693-3700 Mel George, Rangan Banerjee.
Every Friday, the seismology and mathematical geophysics group holds a meeting, popularly called "Earthquake of the Week", where we discuss our research, relevant papers and weekly global seismicity.

This week happens to be of a special interest due to an unfortunate combination of great earthquake and tsunami that hit Japan, and we will most likely dedicate our entire meeting to this event with two or three presentations and discussions. ...

Hrvoje Tkalcic
Fellow in Seismology/Earth Physics
Research School of Earth Sciences
The Australian National University

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Pilotless Helicopter Waterbombers for Japanese Reactors

New reports indicate that attempts to drop water on damaged Japanese reactors have been unsuccessful. The USA has a robot helicopter water-bomber which might be safe and effective.

In January 2011 U.S. Army Natick Soldier Research, Development and Engineering Center (NSRDEC) is reported to have successfully tested with an unmanned helicopter air-dropping a 4,400lb load. The helicopter used was a modified version of the Kaman KMax, which is also used for fire-fighting around the world (including in Australia). The aircraft can carry a water-bucket as its load and release the water under remote control.

It appears likely that the Kaman KMax aircraft could be used to drop water on a nuclear reactor. This could be done with more precision than a manned aircraft as there would be no risk to the operator and the aircraft could hover precisely over the target. The aircraft could operate for hours at a time, then needing to land for a few minutes to refuel.

Sunday, March 13, 2011

Pacific Tsunami Warning Cancelled

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre issued bulletin number 27 cancelling the Pacific regional tsunami warning at 0636Z 12 MAR 2011. In all, 27 bulletins were issued for the earthquake near the east coast of the Japanese island of Honshu, at 0546 UTC 11 March 2011. Bulletin number 1 for a Tsunami Watch was issued at 0555 UTC 11 March 2011. This was later upgraded to a Widespread Tsunami Warning for the Pacific.

The final bulletin included a list of tsunami wave heights recorded. Those over 1 m were:

GAUGE LOCATIONLAT LONTIMEAMPLPER
CORRAL CL39.9S 73.4W0602Z1.25M / 4.1FT32MIN
ARICA CL18.5S 70.3W0619Z1.25M / 4.1FT14MIN
TALCAHUANO CL36.7S 73.1W0533Z1.06M / 3.5FT36MIN
CALLAO LA-PUNTA PE12.1S 77.2W0444Z1.67M / 5.5FT24MIN
CALDERA CL27.1S 70.8W0446Z1.41M / 4.6FT16MIN
COQUIMBO CL30.0S 71.3W0438Z1.46M / 4.8FT32MIN
MANZANILLO MX19.1N 104.3W0117Z1.45M / 4.8FT34MIN
LA LIBERTAD EC2.2S 80.9W0239Z1.23M / 4.0FT18MIN
SANTACRUZ GALAPAGOS0.7S90.3W 0038Z1.77M / 5.8FT26MIN
NUKU HIVA MARQUESAS8.9S 140.1W1824Z1.48M / 4.8FT14MIN
PORT SAN LUIS CA35.2N 120.8W1654Z1.88M / 6.2FT22MIN
CRESCENT CITY CA41.7N 124.2W1657Z2.02M / 6.6FT20MIN
LOMBRUM MANUS IS PG2.0S 147.4E1529Z1.04M / 3.4FT62MIN
KAWAIHAE HAWAII20.0N 155.8W1413Z1.22M / 4.0FT14MIN
HILO HAWAII19.7N 155.1W1409Z1.41M / 4.6FT36MIN
KAHULUI MAUI20.9N 156.5W1327Z1.74M / 5.7FT52MIN
HANASAKI HOKKAIDO J43.3N 145.6E0656Z1.83M / 6.0FT24MIN
MIDWAY28.2N 177.4W1048Z1.27M / 4.2FT12MIN
OMAEZAKI HONSHU JP34.6N 138.2E0818Z1.42M / 4.6FT56MIN
DART 2141838.7N 148.7E0619Z1.08M / 3.5FT06MIN


Note: The amplitude measurement is relative to normal sea level. DART 21418 is a deep ocean measurement buoy 450 nautical miles north east of Tokyo.

For the latest reports see the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre.

For an overview of how this is reported via the Internet, see my talk notes for the East Mediterranean Tsunami Warning Centre in Istanbul.

To assist with recovery from the earthquake and tsunami in the Pacific, the Sahana Free and Open Source Disaster Management System Software is available in several languages, including English and Japanese.

The Sahana Foundation (which I am a member of) has issued a request for volunteers to assist with software support.

地震と津波の太平洋からの回復を支援するために、
"Sahanaフリーでオープンソースの防災システムソフトウェア"
英語と日本語を含むいくつかの言語で利用可能です。

"Sahana財団は、"(私のメンバーですが)ボランティアがソフトウェアサポートを支援するための要求を発行しています。

Open Source Disaster Management Software in Japanese

To assist with recovery from the earthquake and tsunami in the Pacific,
the Sahana Free and Open Source Disaster Management System Software is available in several languages, including English and Japanese.

The Sahana Foundation (which I am a member of) has issued a request for volunteers to assist with software support.
The Sahana project was initiated by volunteers in the Sri Lankan FOSS development community to help their fellow countrymen and countrywomen affected during the 2004 Asian Tsunami in December 2004. The system was officially used by the Government of Sri Lanka and the system was released as Free and Open Source software. Subsequently a re-write as a generic disaster management tools was incubated with the sponsorship of SIDA, IBM and NSF (US) and it has be used by the dozens of Governments and NGOs since then. ...

From: About Sahana, Sahana Software Foundation,l 2010

地震と津波の太平洋からの回復を支援するために、
"Sahanaフリーでオープンソースの防災システムソフトウェア"
英語と日本語を含むいくつかの言語で利用可能です。

"Sahana財団は、"(私のメンバーですが)ボランティアがソフトウェアサポートを支援するための要求を発行しています。

Saturday, March 12, 2011

Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami Further Reports

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre issued Bulletin number 1 for a Tsunami Watch at 0555 UTC 11 March 2011 for Japan much of the western and mid pacific are nearby areas. This was due to an earthquake at 0546 UTC near the east coast of the Japanese island of Honshu, Japan, then assessed at magnitude 7.9. This was expanded with bulletin 2 at 0643 UTC, with the magnitude of the earthquake reassessed as 8.8. At 0730 UTC bulletin 3 upgraded this to a widespread warning with gauge reports of up to 2.79m at Hokkaido.

The Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System relayed the initial bulletin at 05:56:02 UTC. The PTWC web site is responding to web page requests with no significant delays.

The Widespread Tsunami Warning for the Pacific is still in effect, with the latest bulletin being number 16 at 0938 UTC, with reports above 1m being:

GAUGE LOCATIONLAT LONTIMEAMPLPER
NUKU HIVA MARQUESAS8.9S 140.1W1824Z1.48M / 4.8FT14MIN
PORT SAN LUIS CA35.2N 120.8W1654Z1.88M / 6.2FT22MIN
CRESCENT CITY CA41.7N 124.2W1657Z2.02M / 6.6FT20MIN
LOMBRUM MANUS IS PG2.0S 147.4E1529Z1.04M / 3.4FT62MIN
KAWAIHAE HAWAII20.0N 155.8W1413Z1.22M / 4.0FT14MIN
HILO HAWAII19.7N 155.1W1409Z1.41M / 4.6FT36MIN
KAHULUI MAUI20.9N 156.5W1327Z1.74M / 5.7FT52MIN
HANASAKI HOKKAIDO J43.3N 145.6E0656Z1.83M / 6.0FT24MIN
MIDWAY28.2N 177.4W1048Z1.27M / 4.2FT12MIN
OMAEZAKI HONSHU JP34.6N 138.2E0818Z1.42M / 4.6FT56MIN
DART 2141838.7N 148.7E0619Z1.08M / 3.5FT06MIN
Note: The amplitude measurement is relative to normal sea level. DART 21418 is a deep ocean measurement buoy 450 nautical miles north east of Tokyo.

For the latest reports see the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre.

For an overview of how this is reported via the Internet, see my talk notes for the East Mediterranean Tsunami Warning Centre in Istanbul.

The Sahana Free and Open Source Disaster Management System Software is available in several languages, including English and Japanese. The Sahana Foundation (which I am a member of) has issued a request for volunteers to assist with software support.

Friday, March 11, 2011

Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre issued Bulletin number 1 for a Tsunami Watch at 0555 UTC 11 March 2011 for Japan much of the western and mid pacific are nearby areas. This was due to an earthquake at 0546Z 11 MAR 2011 near the east coast of the Japanese island of Honshu, Japan, then assessed at magnitude 7.9. This was expanded with bulletin 2 at 0643Z, with the magnitude of the earthquake reassessed as 8.8. At 0730Z bulletin 3 upgraded this to a widespread warning with gauge reports of up to 2.79m at HOKKAIDO. Up to now the latest bulletin is number 7, warning of possible damage along coastlines of all islands of Hawaii.

The Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System relayed the initial bulletin at 05:56:02 GMT. The PTWC web site is responding to web page requests with no significant delays. For an overview of how these systems work, see my talk to the East Mediterranean Tsunami Warning Centre in Istanbul.


Time (UTC) Region Type To: Details
111 Mar 2011 11:33Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWarning Supplement StatementHawhtml, text
111 Mar 2011 11:32Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan a Widespread Warning is in EffectPachtml, text
111 Mar 2011 10:31Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWarning Supplement StatementHawhtml, text
111 Mar 2011 10:30Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan a Widespread Warning is in EffectPachtml, text
111 Mar 2011 09:30Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWarning Supplement StatementHawhtml, text
111 Mar 2011 09:30Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan a Widespread Warning is in EffectPachtml, text
211 Mar 2011 09:01On the South Flank of Kilauea VolcanoLocal Information StatementHawhtml, text
311 Mar 2011 08:30Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWarning Supplement StatementHawhtml, text
311 Mar 2011 08:30Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan a Widespread Warning is in EffectPachtml, text
311 Mar 2011 07:31Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWarning StatementHawhtml, text
311 Mar 2011 07:30Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan a Widespread Warning is in EffectPachtml, text
311 Mar 2011 06:44Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWatch Supplement StatementHawhtml, text
311 Mar 2011 06:43Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanExpanding Regional Warning SupplementPachtml, text
411 Mar 2011 05:56Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanWatch StatementHawhtml, text
411 Mar 2011 05:55Near East Coast of Honshu, JapanExpanding Regional WarningPachtml, text